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Implement fixes suggested by trentmc
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* [Predict with Challenge DF](rewards/df-challengedf.md)
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* [Predict with Challenge DF](rewards/df-challengedf.md)
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* [Emissions & APYs](rewards/df-emissions-apys.md)
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* [Emissions & APYs](rewards/df-emissions-apys.md)
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* [veOCEAN & DF FAQ](rewards/df-faq.md)
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* [veOCEAN & DF FAQ](rewards/df-faq.md)
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- [📖 User Guides](rewards/user-guides/README.md)
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- [📖 DF User Guides](rewards/user-guides/README.md)
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- [Earn Passive Rewards](rewards/user-guides/how-to-veocean.md)
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- [Earn Passive Rewards](rewards/user-guides/how-to-veocean.md)
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- [Estimate APYs](rewards/user-guides/how-to-estimate-apy.md)
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- [Estimate APYs](rewards/user-guides/how-to-estimate-apy.md)
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- [Claim Rewards](rewards/user-guides/how-to-claim-rewards.md)
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- [Claim Rewards](rewards/user-guides/how-to-claim-rewards.md)
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@ -33,7 +33,11 @@ We'll also provide some links and exercise to make this easier for you.
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## Predictoor Parameters
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## Predictoor Parameters
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The [Predictoor Parameters page](pdr-parameters.md) will provide you with details on many topics such as incentives, feed costs, and deployed feeds.
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The [Predictoor Parameters page](pdr-parameters.md) will provide you with details on many topics such as incentives, feed costs, and deployed feeds.
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You can find details about Oasis, Testnet, Mainnet, and how to bridge your OCEAN here.
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You can find details about Oasis, Testnet, Mainnet, and how to bridge your OCEAN here.
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## FAQ
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The [FAQ page](pdr-faq.md) has frequently asked questions about Predictoor.
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## Connect with Us
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## Connect with Us
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If you want to talk to other Predictoors, Traders, and contributors to this ecosystem, [join us on Discord](https://discord.gg/TnXjkR5).
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If you want to talk to other Predictoors, Traders, and contributors to this ecosystem, [join us on Discord](https://discord.gg/TnXjkR5).
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@ -11,7 +11,7 @@ description: Frequently Asked Questions about Predictoor
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<summary>How can users begin experimenting with Predictoor?</summary>
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<summary>How can users begin experimenting with Predictoor?</summary>
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You can start by playing with [predictoor.ai](https://, then click "run bots" and go through [Predictoor](https://github.com/oceanprotocol/pdr-backend/blob/main/READMEs/predictoor.md) or [Trader](https://github.com/oceanprotocol/pdr-backend/blob/main/READMEs/trader.md) README. This [blog](https://blog.oceanprotocol.com/meet-predictoor-accountable-accurate-prediction-feeds-8b104d26a5d9#048b) "How to Earn" section has details.
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You can start by playing with [predictoor.ai](https://predictoor.ai), then click "run bots" and go through [Predictoor](https://github.com/oceanprotocol/pdr-backend/blob/main/READMEs/predictoor.md) or [Trader](https://github.com/oceanprotocol/pdr-backend/blob/main/READMEs/trader.md) README. This [blog](https://blog.oceanprotocol.com/meet-predictoor-accountable-accurate-prediction-feeds-8b104d26a5d9#048b) "How to Earn" section has details.
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</details>
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</details>
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@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Whereas in Predictoor, payout is a function of the the accuracy of the submitter
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<summary>What happens if your prediction is good or bad?</summary>
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<summary>What happens if your prediction is good or bad?</summary>
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If the prediction is wrong, your staked amount on that prediction is going to be slashed and divided between people who submitted the right predictions.
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If the prediction is wrong, your staked amount on that prediction is going to be slashed and distributed among people who submitted the right predictions.
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</details>
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</details>
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@ -72,11 +72,11 @@ If the prediction is wrong, your staked amount on that prediction is going to be
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<summary>Is it possible to predict without using bots?</summary>
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<summary>Is it possible to predict without using bots?</summary>
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Before we answer, please understand that to make decent money, it will take hundreds or thousands of submissions, guided by AI/ML models. So doing this manually would be tedious and error-prone. Therefore a bot is the most practical way. This is why OPF has made it easy to run a bot. Here are the Readme of both [Predictoor](https://github.com/oceanprotocol/pdr-backend/blob/main/READMEs/predictoor.md) and [Trader](https://github.com/oceanprotocol/pdr-backend/blob/main/READMEs/trader.md).
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Before we answer, please understand that to make decent money, it will take hundreds or thousands of submissions, guided by AI/ML models. So doing this manually would be tedious and error-prone. Therefore a bot is the most practical way. This is why the Predictoor core team has made it easy to run a bot. Here are the getting-started READMEs [Predictoor](https://github.com/oceanprotocol/pdr-backend/blob/main/READMEs/predictoor.md) and [Trader](https://github.com/oceanprotocol/pdr-backend/blob/main/READMEs/trader.md), respectively.
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To the question "Is it possible to predict without a bot", the specific answer is "Yes". Here are the details
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To the question "Is it possible to predict without a bot", the specific answer is "Yes". Here are the details
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- Somehow you need to submit an up/down prediction, with OCEAN stake, as a transaction to Sapphire chain. Here are the Possible ways to do such a transaction:
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- Somehow you need to submit an up/down prediction, with OCEAN stake, as a transaction to Sapphire chain. Here are the Possible ways to do such a transaction:
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- (a) OPF-supplied Python bot
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- (a) Core team-supplied Python bot
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- (b) simple Python script
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- (b) simple Python script
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- (c) Use "Write Contract" in [Sapphire blockchain explorer](https://explorer.sapphire.oasis.io)
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- (c) Use "Write Contract" in [Sapphire blockchain explorer](https://explorer.sapphire.oasis.io)
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- (d) 3rd-party bot that decides to support this
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- (d) 3rd-party bot that decides to support this
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@ -122,10 +122,11 @@ Pricing is 3 OCEAN for one feed for 24 hours. It will be like that for the near-
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<details>
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<details>
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<summary>How Is Predictoor related to Data Farming?</summary>
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<summary>How Is Predictoor related to Data Farming?</summary>
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Starting Nov 9 via "Predictoor Data Farming", there will be 37000 OCEAN (about $10K) and several $K worth of ROSE allocated weekly to Predictoor DF. This will be used to purchase prediction feeds, alongside purchases by traders, etc. 80% of prediction feed sales goes to predictoors themselves.
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Predictoor is its own dapp, stack, and set of feeds. In addition, the Ocean Data Farming infrastructure is extended to incentivize for activities within Predictoor.
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Learn more about Predictoor [here](https://blog.oceanprotocol.com/meet-predictoor-accountable-accurate-prediction-feeds-8b104d26a5d9#048b)
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Starting Nov 9, 2023 via "Predictoor Data Farming", there is 37000 OCEAN (about $10K) and several $K worth of ROSE allocated weekly to Predictoor DF. This will be used to purchase prediction feeds, alongside purchases by traders, etc. 80% of prediction feed sales goes to predictoors themselves.
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</details>
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</details>
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@ -45,7 +45,7 @@ We assume predictions on BTC, and where epoch t ends at 5:00pm, t+1 ends 5:05pm,
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**Epoch t+1.** The middle 1/3 of the image covers epoch t+1. It starts at 5:00pm and ends at 5:05pm. The BTC Predictoor contract computes the aggregated predicted value (agg_predval) as stake-weighted sum across individual predictions.
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**Epoch t+1.** The middle 1/3 of the image covers epoch t+1. It starts at 5:00pm and ends at 5:05pm. The BTC Predictoor contract computes the aggregated predicted value (agg_predval) as stake-weighted sum across individual predictions.
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> agg_predval = (stake1*predval1 + stake2*predval2 + …) / (stake1 + stake2 + …)
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> agg_predval = (stake1 x predval1 + stake2 x predval2 + …) / (stake1 + stake2 + …)
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The contract then makes agg_predval visible to its subscribers. The predicted value is the stake-weighted sum across predictions. Smart traders may take the information and act immediately. A baseline strategy is "if it predicts ↑ then buy; if it predicts ↓ then sell or short".
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The contract then makes agg_predval visible to its subscribers. The predicted value is the stake-weighted sum across predictions. Smart traders may take the information and act immediately. A baseline strategy is "if it predicts ↑ then buy; if it predicts ↓ then sell or short".
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