diff --git a/predictoor/pdr-earn.md b/predictoor/pdr-earn.md index 19a65c7f..241af7e6 100644 --- a/predictoor/pdr-earn.md +++ b/predictoor/pdr-earn.md @@ -13,10 +13,11 @@ Typical steps as a Predictoor: The actions as a predictoor give the following ways to earn: * **Feed sales.** At an epoch, sales revenue (minus fees) for that epoch goes to predictoors. It’s distributed pro-rata by stake among the predictoors who predicted the true value correctly. The revenue for an epoch is the fraction of sales, spread uniformly across subscription length. A price of 3 OCEAN, 5m epochs, and 24h (1440m) subscriptions gives a revenue of (# subscribers) * (3 OCEAN) * / (1440m / 5m). * **Stake reshuffling.** At an epoch, incorrect predictoors have their stake slashed. This slashed stake is distributed to the correct predictoors pro-rata on their stake. -* **Predictoor DF.** This amounts to additional earning for predictoors. 37,000 OCEAN/week rewards. [Here are details.](../data-farming/predictoordf.md) -Don’t expect to be 100% accurate in your up/down predictions. Marginally better than 50% might be enough, and be skeptical if you’re greatly above 50%, you probably have a bug in your testing. +* **Predictoor Data Farming.** This amounts to additional earning for predictoors. [Here are details.](../data-farming/predictoordf.md) -Every week there’s [150,000 total OCEAN rewards](../data-farming/README.md) for Ocean Data Farming. This will increase in early 2024, and more yet later. +**On Prediction Accuracy.** Don’t expect to be 100% accurate in your up/down predictions. Marginally better than 50% might be enough, and be skeptical if you’re greatly above 50%, you probably have a bug in your testing. + +**On Amount to Stake.** How much should a predictoor stake, to maximize revenue and bound risk? If you stake more, you can earn more, _but only to a point_. Earnings are bounded by sales of the feeds. So if you stake too much, you will lose $. [This blog post](https://blog.oceanprotocol.com/rewards-mechanisms-of-ocean-predictoor-6f76c942baf7) provides equations that bound how much to stake, along with general tips. {% hint style="warning" %} You will lose money as a predictoor if your \$ out exceeds your \$ in. If you have low accuracy you’ll have your stake slashed a lot. Do account for gas fees, compute costs, and more. Everything you do is your responsibility, at your discretion. None of this blog is financial advice.